Pakistan-Afghan Relations in Murky Waters

Aug 3, 2005

In June and July the American troops and the Afghan functionaries, came under a series of armed attacks, shattering the comparative calm in . These vicious and daring assaults indicate that the much awaited parliamentary in September will not be free from trouble, and that the menace of Taliban still exists, as a potential future challenge. Contrary to what was the forecast in the past, these assaults specify that the against in is far from over. The latest inflicted a number of causalities on the American troops, raising the total of dead to 150, since 2001. There are nearly 15,000 U.S. troops in , with an additional battalion poised for that torn country.

The heavy reliance on the American forces indicate the lack of organized Afghan security structure, i.e., even after more than four years of the elimination of the Taliban administration and the Afghan army remains far from adequately trained. President Hamid Karzai largely depends on the U.S. commandos for his personnel security and his opponents taunt that he is just a Mayor of Kabul, as his authority does not extend beyond that city.

Accompanied by the hype in militancy, came a volley of direct and indirect blames on . Included, in that rhetoric was the statement of Afghan-American U.S. Ambassador to , Zalmay Khalizad. He vehemently said that Mullah Omar and Osama bin Laden were somewhere in . He however, could not substantiate his allegations with details and evidence. Ambassador Khalizad’s charge was followed by statements by the Afghan officials, the official controlled news and President Karzai, himself. In the reaction was sharp and forthcoming. Apart from a strong statement from representative, terming these charges as irresponsible and without evidence, the un-official electronic and print started to question the rationale of ’s complete commitment towards against , in this part of the world. One of the leading Pakistani daily remarked, “It’s time should rethink its of cooperating in the on Terror and being rewarded only with slurs”.

The present crisis was defused with the intervention of President Bush, who persuaded both the countries to focus more on against , than finding faults with each other. These developments further confirmed that bilateral ties between the two neighboring countries have become a matter of triangular relations, aggravating with the spread of global – becoming more problematic, with every reversal. Pak-Afghan relations remain a matter of serious concern for the United States strategic planners, as long as militancy continues to dominate the region.

maintains around 80,000 troops in the tribal and adjoining areas, with . The borders are completely sealed, with latest reconnaissance devices and the Taliban entering in an organized manner is inconceivable. The main weakness lies with the Afghan security apparatus itself. A glaring example is the escape of four Afghan prisoners from Bagram jail, a facility that is heavily guarded and is under the direct control of the American troops. The escape was not possible without the cooperation of the Afghan soldiers, on duty. Till now there has been no trace of the escapees, who were known for their hardened ideology and considered extremely dangerous. It is easier for the Afghan administration to blame for their security lapses, as little efforts are made by Kabul administration to establish its control in areas that are beyond the city of Kabul. Apart from that the Pashtoon is kept alienated by the Tajik-Uzbak alliance in the . All Taliban might be Pashtoons but all Pashtoons does not confer to the ideology of the Taliban. In the close knit tribal society of , it is difficult to make a clear distinction between the two. Sometimes it is deliberately done so, to keep the majority of the Pashtoons, who are more than fifty per cent of the Afghan , away from the mainstream politics.

The Afghan continues to suspect for being supportive of the militants in their country and in the present circumstances, there is little chance that Kabul could be convinced otherwise. The focal point of these relations remains around the conflict between Taliban and the Afghan security setup. is dragged in the Afghan quandary, when it fails to manage the operations of Afghan related militant groups in its own society. Therefore, when it comes to Afghan militancy, the part of the problem comes from within . Musharraf’s is seen by many as ineffective, as well indulging in dubious policies, whether sectarian or otherwise.

There is little that the forthcoming September parliamentary would provide a substantial betterment of the overall situation. would continue to receive the fallout of the Afghan mismanagement, unless the takes immediate strict measures to eradicate the Afghan linked militants. The noted aspect is that has lost its creditability to perform any meaningful role in the divided and volatile Afghan society. Because of intense past interference in the Afghan factional conflict, has conceded most of its neutral ground and is branded as an active partner in the existing militancy. In fact the Pakistani establishment is visualized as a major part of the problem. This view is also shared by some American officials, who regard Musharraf not doing enough to stop the recruitment of the Taliban cadres. After all, Ambassador Khalizad is nothing more than a mouthpiece of the Bush administration.

In the circumstances, it is required that makes drastic adjustments in its Afghan related attitudes and put its own house in order. That would provide an opportunity to depart from its defective perceptions of the past and set the record straight. has got another chance to amend its follies. It still has an opportunity to exit from the “Afghan muddle” that it had partly created for itself.