Dost Mittar May 13, 2003
#142 Posted by bbabu on May 19, 2003 4:26:24 am
HisExcellency #136
`` Many Indians believe that Pakistan is demanding Kashmir because Pakistan wants to dismember India. If that were true Pakistan would also stake a claim for Sikkim, Nagaland and Punjab. However, Pakistan did not stake a claim despite secessionist movements in those states. ``
Some Pakistani officials have openly said that support for Kashmir is payback for 1971. It is an open fact Pakistan abetted Sikh militants during the 1980s. Where do Pakistanis think guns grow ? The list of 20 given to Pakistan during last years standoff includes 5 Sikhs. Pakistani ISI has been using Bangladesh as a base to supply insurgent groups in North East India.
`` Pakistan assisted India in hunting down the Sikh separatists by giving India the list of Sikh operatives in 1989. ``
If Pakistan was not involved in any way what is there to assist ???
`` Many Indians believe that Pakistan is demanding Kashmir because Pakistan wants to dismember India. If that were true Pakistan would also stake a claim for Sikkim, Nagaland and Punjab. However, Pakistan did not stake a claim despite secessionist movements in those states. ``
Some Pakistani officials have openly said that support for Kashmir is payback for 1971. It is an open fact Pakistan abetted Sikh militants during the 1980s. Where do Pakistanis think guns grow ? The list of 20 given to Pakistan during last years standoff includes 5 Sikhs. Pakistani ISI has been using Bangladesh as a base to supply insurgent groups in North East India.
`` Pakistan assisted India in hunting down the Sikh separatists by giving India the list of Sikh operatives in 1989. ``
If Pakistan was not involved in any way what is there to assist ???
#141 Posted by bbabu on May 19, 2003 4:26:24 am
HisExcellency #133
`` I concede that the Pakistan Army funneled arms to selected Mujahideen who were Islamist in character. But how do you draw the conclusion that this was done to suppress Baluchi/Pashtun nationalism?? Is this your conjuecture or are your views founded on some research?? ``
It is based on conjecture. Most of the information I get is from Jang, Dawn, Defence Journal and western policy think thanks like Brookings, CSIS.
The Pakistani army is really dominated by Punjabis. There is a sprinkling of Pathans much like Sikhs in the Indian Army. The Bangladesh debacle, oil money from the Gulf, Baluchi revolt, Paktoonistan claim must have persuaded Pakistani army to use Islam as a unifying force. It has been a partial succees in that Pakistan is intact without any overt separatist movements. The achiles heel is the Deobandi/Wahabi sect of Islam being propagated is completely inmical to building a modern society. It does not help they went on a Jihad in kashmir and in Afghanistan.
`` I concede that the Pakistan Army funneled arms to selected Mujahideen who were Islamist in character. But how do you draw the conclusion that this was done to suppress Baluchi/Pashtun nationalism?? Is this your conjuecture or are your views founded on some research?? ``
It is based on conjecture. Most of the information I get is from Jang, Dawn, Defence Journal and western policy think thanks like Brookings, CSIS.
The Pakistani army is really dominated by Punjabis. There is a sprinkling of Pathans much like Sikhs in the Indian Army. The Bangladesh debacle, oil money from the Gulf, Baluchi revolt, Paktoonistan claim must have persuaded Pakistani army to use Islam as a unifying force. It has been a partial succees in that Pakistan is intact without any overt separatist movements. The achiles heel is the Deobandi/Wahabi sect of Islam being propagated is completely inmical to building a modern society. It does not help they went on a Jihad in kashmir and in Afghanistan.
#140 Posted by bbabu on May 19, 2003 4:26:24 am
I got a chuckle at this
------------
White Lies
It is generally believed that when Washington wants things done, it sends in the remorseless Richard Armitage, a daily 200-benchpresser to deliver its wish list. Last week the barrelchested wrestler, who can bloody anybody`s nose, was in Islamabad for another bout, this time on Kashmir.
A story has it that after an audience with the top brass, Armitage had, what he thought would be a freestyle encounter with prominent parliamentarians from all parties to gauge any resistance. He need not have practised his moves because the match was a walkover. The parliamentarians that gathered had but one request. Could Armitage assist in solving problems faced by their sons and daughters, working or studying in the US.
Reportedly the meeting developed into an INS helpline with people seeking his intervention. Parliamentarians slipped him their telephone, fax and e-mail details and the US heavyweight flew out of Islamabad feeling he knew who would receive his calls, should the occasion so demand.
#139 Posted by bbabu on May 19, 2003 4:26:24 am
from stratfor
Pak`s peace moves driven by economics: Report
Washington: Although Pakistan`s recent attempts to improve relations with India is motivated by security concerns, economics is the primary driver behind its actions, according to US analysts.
``Although Islamabad has yet to make concessions where New Delhi most would like -- on the issue of its support for Kashmir-based militants -- any progress in smoothing relations with India would significantly improve Pakistan`s attractiveness to foreign investors and its chances of growing its economy internally,`` Strategic Forecasting (Stratfor) said in its latest South Asia situation report.
However, President Pervez Musharraf`s government was not looking solely to India for revenue opportunities, the report said.
Islamabad also has begun talks with Iran regarding improved drug interdiction efforts along their shared border. Although Pakistan derives no direct benefits from such cooperation, it could pave the way for communication and negotiations on other issues, such as a proposed natural gas pipeline from Iran to India.
The Pakistani economy has been in rather grim shape for years, the report said. In 1998, the country`s total domestic and internal debt equaled 100 per cent of GDP -- prompting a sharp depreciation in the rupee.
That in turn caused per capita income to decline from 473 dollars in 1998 to 443 dollars currently, according to the Pakistan Board of Investment.
Meanwhile, the percentage of the population living below poverty level has grown from 25 per cent to fully one-third.
Although the nation`s economy has stabilized somewhat -- mainly as a result of funding from the United States and multilateral lenders -- Islamabad still is trying to get back into the black, Stratfor said. UNI
#138 Posted by friend on May 18, 2003 7:34:26 pm
HisExcellency #98
[++
Do you think Pakistan has met that condition? And what is your stand of legality of Pakistani`s stand after this?
++
The UN Security Council Resolution 654 stipulated that Pakistani invaders will withdraw from Kashmir and Indian administration will hold a plebiscite at an appropriate time that will be mutually decided by Pakistan and India. No time frame was stipulated by the UN SC about withdrawal of Pakistani invaders. ]
knock! knock!! Helloooo!
Have you read security council resolution 654? This document just details creation of a commission of three members that will (1) to investigate the facts pursuant to Article 34 of the Charter of the United Nations; (2) to exercise, without interrupting the work of the Security Council, any mediatory influence likely to smooth away difficulties, to carry out the directions given to it by the Security Council; and to report how far the advice and directions, if any, of the Security Council, have been carried out.
You have very vehmently declared ``No time frame was stipulated``. I am copying below resolution dated 21st April.
Text of Resolution on the India-Pakistan Question submitted jointly by the Representatives of Belgium, Canada, China, Colombia, the United Kingdom and the United States of America, and adopted by the Security Council at its 26th meeting held on 21st April 1948.
A - Restoration of Peace and Order
1. The Government of Pakistan should undertake to use its best endeavours:
(a) To secure the withdrawal from the State of Jammu and Kashmir of tribesmen and Pakistani Nationals not normally resident therein, who have entered the State for the purposes of fighting and to prevent any intrusion into the State of such elements and any furnishing of material aid to those fighting in the State.
(b) To make known to all concerned that the measures indicated in this and the following paragraphs provide full freedom to all subjects of the State, and that therefore they should co-operate in the maintenance of peace and order.
2. The Government of India should:
(a) When it is established to the satisfaction of the Commission set up in accordance with the Council`s resolution of 20 January that the tribesmen are withdrawing and that arrangements for the cessation of the fighting have become effective, put into operation in consultation with the Commission, a plan for withdrawing their own forces from Jammu and Kashmir and reducing them progressively to the minimum strength required for the support of civil power in the maintenance of law and order;
----------
Don`t you get the meaning of ``When it is established`` in point 2(a).
---------------
*RESOLUTION ADOPTED BY THE UNITED NATIONS COMMISSION FOR INDIA AND PAKISTAN ON 13 AUGUST 1948. (DOCUMENT NO.S/1100, PARA 75, DATED 9 NOVEMBER 1948)
......
PART II
TRUCE AGREEMENT
Simultaneously with the acceptance of the proposal for the immediate cessation of hostilities as outlined in Part I, both Governments accept the following principles as a basis for the formulation of a truce agreement, the details of which shall be worked out in discussion between their Representatives and the Commission.
A. (1) As the presence of troops of Pakistan in the territory of the State of Jammu and Kashmir constitutes a material change in the situation since it was represented by the Government of Pakistan before the Security Council, the Government of Pakistan agrees to withdraw its troops from that State.
(2) The Government of Pakistan will use its best endeavour to secure the withdrawal from the State of Jammu and Kashmir of tribesmen and Pakistan nationals not normally resident therein who have entered the State for the purpose of fighting.
(3) Pending a final solution the territory evacuated by the Pakistan troops will be administered by the local authorities under the surveillance of the Commission.
(1) When the Commission shall have notified the Government of India that the tribesmen and Pakistan nationals referred to in Part II A 2 hereof have withdrawn, thereby terminating the situation which was represented by the Government of India to the Security Council as having occasioned the presence of Indian forces in the State of Jammu and Kashmir, and further, that the Pakistan forces are being withdrawn from the State of Jammu and Kashmir, the Government of India agrees to begin to withdraw the bulk of their forces from the State in stages to be agreed upon with the Commission.
--------------------
Do write if you do not understand the text copied above? And before you say that these documents have been doctored by RAW, please note that these have been copied from the site of ``Permament mission of Pakistan to United Nations``.
I would be quite interested in knowing your interpretation of these documents.
[++
Do you think Pakistan has met that condition? And what is your stand of legality of Pakistani`s stand after this?
++
The UN Security Council Resolution 654 stipulated that Pakistani invaders will withdraw from Kashmir and Indian administration will hold a plebiscite at an appropriate time that will be mutually decided by Pakistan and India. No time frame was stipulated by the UN SC about withdrawal of Pakistani invaders. ]
knock! knock!! Helloooo!
Have you read security council resolution 654? This document just details creation of a commission of three members that will (1) to investigate the facts pursuant to Article 34 of the Charter of the United Nations; (2) to exercise, without interrupting the work of the Security Council, any mediatory influence likely to smooth away difficulties, to carry out the directions given to it by the Security Council; and to report how far the advice and directions, if any, of the Security Council, have been carried out.
You have very vehmently declared ``No time frame was stipulated``. I am copying below resolution dated 21st April.
Text of Resolution on the India-Pakistan Question submitted jointly by the Representatives of Belgium, Canada, China, Colombia, the United Kingdom and the United States of America, and adopted by the Security Council at its 26th meeting held on 21st April 1948.
A - Restoration of Peace and Order
1. The Government of Pakistan should undertake to use its best endeavours:
(a) To secure the withdrawal from the State of Jammu and Kashmir of tribesmen and Pakistani Nationals not normally resident therein, who have entered the State for the purposes of fighting and to prevent any intrusion into the State of such elements and any furnishing of material aid to those fighting in the State.
(b) To make known to all concerned that the measures indicated in this and the following paragraphs provide full freedom to all subjects of the State, and that therefore they should co-operate in the maintenance of peace and order.
2. The Government of India should:
(a) When it is established to the satisfaction of the Commission set up in accordance with the Council`s resolution of 20 January that the tribesmen are withdrawing and that arrangements for the cessation of the fighting have become effective, put into operation in consultation with the Commission, a plan for withdrawing their own forces from Jammu and Kashmir and reducing them progressively to the minimum strength required for the support of civil power in the maintenance of law and order;
----------
Don`t you get the meaning of ``When it is established`` in point 2(a).
---------------
*RESOLUTION ADOPTED BY THE UNITED NATIONS COMMISSION FOR INDIA AND PAKISTAN ON 13 AUGUST 1948. (DOCUMENT NO.S/1100, PARA 75, DATED 9 NOVEMBER 1948)
......
PART II
TRUCE AGREEMENT
Simultaneously with the acceptance of the proposal for the immediate cessation of hostilities as outlined in Part I, both Governments accept the following principles as a basis for the formulation of a truce agreement, the details of which shall be worked out in discussion between their Representatives and the Commission.
A. (1) As the presence of troops of Pakistan in the territory of the State of Jammu and Kashmir constitutes a material change in the situation since it was represented by the Government of Pakistan before the Security Council, the Government of Pakistan agrees to withdraw its troops from that State.
(2) The Government of Pakistan will use its best endeavour to secure the withdrawal from the State of Jammu and Kashmir of tribesmen and Pakistan nationals not normally resident therein who have entered the State for the purpose of fighting.
(3) Pending a final solution the territory evacuated by the Pakistan troops will be administered by the local authorities under the surveillance of the Commission.
(1) When the Commission shall have notified the Government of India that the tribesmen and Pakistan nationals referred to in Part II A 2 hereof have withdrawn, thereby terminating the situation which was represented by the Government of India to the Security Council as having occasioned the presence of Indian forces in the State of Jammu and Kashmir, and further, that the Pakistan forces are being withdrawn from the State of Jammu and Kashmir, the Government of India agrees to begin to withdraw the bulk of their forces from the State in stages to be agreed upon with the Commission.
--------------------
Do write if you do not understand the text copied above? And before you say that these documents have been doctored by RAW, please note that these have been copied from the site of ``Permament mission of Pakistan to United Nations``.
I would be quite interested in knowing your interpretation of these documents.
#137 Posted by HisExcellency on May 18, 2003 5:54:14 pm
re: #135 by bbabu
++
USA lacks the true diversity of India. Pakistan and USA are similar in diversity. USA became prosperous when they were homogenous. Their diversity came after their prosperity.
++
Beg to differ on this assertion. Agreed that India is more multiethnic than Pakistan, Bangladesh, Europe, etc. But India does NOT have the same degree of diversity that USA has. Most of the people living in India are Indo-Aryan or Dravidian by decent. In contrast, American society comprises Mandarin/East Asian, Caucasian, Latino, Jewish, Persian, Hindu, Arab, Buddhist, Sikh, African, Muslim and countless other groups. In America, you will find nationals of every country in the world.
I also disagree with your assertion that USA progressed first, and became diverse later. Economic history of US reveals that each wave of immigrants facilitated progress, instead of just benefiting from it.
* The Irish wave brought cheap manual labour that was necessary for the American railroad project.
* Jewish immigrants introduced the first financial services (J.P.Morgan, Goldman, etc), stock brokerage and efficient trade (Chicago Board of Trade) to the US market. A later influx of German Jews helped America in developing the Atom Bomb.
* Indian & Russian immigrants facilitated growth in the Info Tech industry
* East Asian immigrants brought highy developed mathematical skills that we put to use in R&D
Progress happened because of immigration, not vice versa.
++
USA lacks the true diversity of India. Pakistan and USA are similar in diversity. USA became prosperous when they were homogenous. Their diversity came after their prosperity.
++
Beg to differ on this assertion. Agreed that India is more multiethnic than Pakistan, Bangladesh, Europe, etc. But India does NOT have the same degree of diversity that USA has. Most of the people living in India are Indo-Aryan or Dravidian by decent. In contrast, American society comprises Mandarin/East Asian, Caucasian, Latino, Jewish, Persian, Hindu, Arab, Buddhist, Sikh, African, Muslim and countless other groups. In America, you will find nationals of every country in the world.
I also disagree with your assertion that USA progressed first, and became diverse later. Economic history of US reveals that each wave of immigrants facilitated progress, instead of just benefiting from it.
* The Irish wave brought cheap manual labour that was necessary for the American railroad project.
* Jewish immigrants introduced the first financial services (J.P.Morgan, Goldman, etc), stock brokerage and efficient trade (Chicago Board of Trade) to the US market. A later influx of German Jews helped America in developing the Atom Bomb.
* Indian & Russian immigrants facilitated growth in the Info Tech industry
* East Asian immigrants brought highy developed mathematical skills that we put to use in R&D
Progress happened because of immigration, not vice versa.
#136 Posted by HisExcellency on May 18, 2003 4:38:05 pm
re: #126 by bbabu
To clear the confusion on my comment:
``We don`t demand self-determination for people in Sikkim, Nagaland, Punjab or elsewhere in India.``
Many Indians believe that Pakistan is demanding Kashmir because Pakistan wants to dismember India. If that were true Pakistan would also stake a claim for Sikkim, Nagaland and Punjab. However, Pakistan did not stake a claim despite secessionist movements in those states. In fact, Pakistan assisted India in hunting down the Sikh separatists by giving India the list of Sikh operatives in 1989.
This simply disproves the theory that ``Pakistan demands Kashmir because Pakistan wants to dismember India``. In fact, the opposite is true. Pakistan does not want to dismember India and has no strategic interest in supporting secessionist movements in other states of India.
Kashmir is a special case simply because its accession to India is disputed. The Indian Independence Act 1947 specifically mentioned Kashmir as a special case (unlike Sikkim, Nagaland, Punjab, etc) because Kashmir was a princely state and hence not part of British India.
To summarize:
a) Secessionist movements in Nagaland, Sikkim and Punjab are internal problems of India. But secessionist movements in Kashmir are not.
b) Pakistan has no right to support or interfere in secessionist movements in Sikkim, Nagaland or Indian Punjab, But under UN SC 654 resolution and Indian Independence Act 1947, Pakistan is a party to the Kashmir dispute. Therefore, Pakistani involvement in Kashmir does not amount to interference in India`s internal affairs.
In essence, this is also the Pakistani position on India`s claim that Kashmir is its integral part.
To clear the confusion on my comment:
``We don`t demand self-determination for people in Sikkim, Nagaland, Punjab or elsewhere in India.``
Many Indians believe that Pakistan is demanding Kashmir because Pakistan wants to dismember India. If that were true Pakistan would also stake a claim for Sikkim, Nagaland and Punjab. However, Pakistan did not stake a claim despite secessionist movements in those states. In fact, Pakistan assisted India in hunting down the Sikh separatists by giving India the list of Sikh operatives in 1989.
This simply disproves the theory that ``Pakistan demands Kashmir because Pakistan wants to dismember India``. In fact, the opposite is true. Pakistan does not want to dismember India and has no strategic interest in supporting secessionist movements in other states of India.
Kashmir is a special case simply because its accession to India is disputed. The Indian Independence Act 1947 specifically mentioned Kashmir as a special case (unlike Sikkim, Nagaland, Punjab, etc) because Kashmir was a princely state and hence not part of British India.
To summarize:
a) Secessionist movements in Nagaland, Sikkim and Punjab are internal problems of India. But secessionist movements in Kashmir are not.
b) Pakistan has no right to support or interfere in secessionist movements in Sikkim, Nagaland or Indian Punjab, But under UN SC 654 resolution and Indian Independence Act 1947, Pakistan is a party to the Kashmir dispute. Therefore, Pakistani involvement in Kashmir does not amount to interference in India`s internal affairs.
In essence, this is also the Pakistani position on India`s claim that Kashmir is its integral part.
#135 Posted by HisExcellency on May 18, 2003 4:22:16 pm
#131 by ahmadzai
You are right about the Taliban`s resurging popularity. One of the mistakes made by US in Afghanistan is that the Pashtuns feel marginalized in the power structure. Most of the key ministries have been taken over by Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks. Given the deep ethnic divisions between Pashtuns and these minority groups, this power imbalance is also contributing to heartburn. Unfortunately, this will just reinforce the MMA in Pakistan and encourage them in their obscurantist agenda. Ensuring a fair power balance in Afghanistan is as much in Pakistan`s interest as in Indian, American, Russian and Iranian interests.
#128 by rsridhar
I agree with your analysis. Since the Indian model works for India, it should not be changed. However in Pakistan`s case, the British Parliamentary model does not seem to be working. Horse-trading, politics of personality cult and lack of intra-party democracy means that in Pakistan political parties are owned by their leaders. Benazir Bhutto, Altaf Hussain and Nawaz Sharif have become the Godfather of their parties. No dissent is allowed inside the party. Any party official who challenges the views and leadership of the Godfather is either expelled or assassinated (in the MQM especially).
This is in stark contrast with India. For example, Sitaram Kesri failed to keep the Congress party hostage to his ambitions. Not only is there a democratic culture outside the party, there is also a democratic culture inside the party.
re: #126 by bbabu
I concede that the Pakistan Army funneled arms to selected Mujahideen who were Islamist in character. But how do you draw the conclusion that this was done to suppress Baluchi/Pashtun nationalism?? Is this your conjuecture or are your views founded on some research??
You are right about the Taliban`s resurging popularity. One of the mistakes made by US in Afghanistan is that the Pashtuns feel marginalized in the power structure. Most of the key ministries have been taken over by Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks. Given the deep ethnic divisions between Pashtuns and these minority groups, this power imbalance is also contributing to heartburn. Unfortunately, this will just reinforce the MMA in Pakistan and encourage them in their obscurantist agenda. Ensuring a fair power balance in Afghanistan is as much in Pakistan`s interest as in Indian, American, Russian and Iranian interests.
#128 by rsridhar
I agree with your analysis. Since the Indian model works for India, it should not be changed. However in Pakistan`s case, the British Parliamentary model does not seem to be working. Horse-trading, politics of personality cult and lack of intra-party democracy means that in Pakistan political parties are owned by their leaders. Benazir Bhutto, Altaf Hussain and Nawaz Sharif have become the Godfather of their parties. No dissent is allowed inside the party. Any party official who challenges the views and leadership of the Godfather is either expelled or assassinated (in the MQM especially).
This is in stark contrast with India. For example, Sitaram Kesri failed to keep the Congress party hostage to his ambitions. Not only is there a democratic culture outside the party, there is also a democratic culture inside the party.
re: #126 by bbabu
I concede that the Pakistan Army funneled arms to selected Mujahideen who were Islamist in character. But how do you draw the conclusion that this was done to suppress Baluchi/Pashtun nationalism?? Is this your conjuecture or are your views founded on some research??
#134 Posted by bbabu on May 18, 2003 4:22:16 pm
HisExcellency # 132
`` IMHO, American War on Terror was conducted in a mindless, trigger- happy fashion. This glorified an ugly Taliban regime into Pashtun heroes. It is no secret that Taliban were themselves divided over the hand-over of Osama Bin Laden. Mullah Omar and his small clique were being opposed by the Taliban Council of Elders as well as Mullah Zaeef and Taliban Foreign Minister. ``
Do I remember some garbage to the tune of ``Afghans cannot hand over their guests. Osama is our guest``. I also remember a lot of garbage about how the brave Mujahdeen with the help of Allah drove out the Soviets. (no mention about those Stingers)
I am glad US had the JDAMs and daisy cutters to put a dagger in the heart of the Taliban. 3000-4000 civillians died in US air strikes. Taliban killed several hundred thousands with their misguided policies. There is no comparison. Most of Afghan refugees have left Pakistan. What more do you want ?
`` On countless occasions between Sep 2001 and Oct 2001, ISI Chief Maj. Gen. Mahmud Ahmad advised Pentagon to play the ``divide-and-rule`` tactics by supporting the anti-Mullah Umar lobby. This was the perfect opportunity for the Americans to isolate Mullah Umar, get OBL and get a pliant Taliban ruler in power. Any expert of Taliban (e.g. Ahmad Rashid) will tell you that not all Taliban believed in suppression of women and minorities. ``
Mahmud was playing a double game. Once Americans found out Musharraf had to can him. All this crap about moderate Taliban was a means for Pakistan to control Afghanistan.
`` In hindsight, we can safely say that American anger prevailed over American shrewdness in Afghanistan. IMHO, this `angry` approach directly contributed to the rise of MMA in NWFP and Baluchistan. A `shrewd` approach would perhaps have denied the MMA their sympathy votes. Perhaps OBL would already be in US custody. And a pliant, moderate Taliban Pashtun leader would be ruling Kabul, instead of a potpourri of warlords, Tajiks, Uzbeks and Hazaras.``
MMA won power because military establishment rigged the playing field. Musharaff tried to use MMA to gain leverage with Washington. Washington leaked out Pakistan-North Korea connection to intimidate Mushy.
`` IMHO, American War on Terror was conducted in a mindless, trigger- happy fashion. This glorified an ugly Taliban regime into Pashtun heroes. It is no secret that Taliban were themselves divided over the hand-over of Osama Bin Laden. Mullah Omar and his small clique were being opposed by the Taliban Council of Elders as well as Mullah Zaeef and Taliban Foreign Minister. ``
Do I remember some garbage to the tune of ``Afghans cannot hand over their guests. Osama is our guest``. I also remember a lot of garbage about how the brave Mujahdeen with the help of Allah drove out the Soviets. (no mention about those Stingers)
I am glad US had the JDAMs and daisy cutters to put a dagger in the heart of the Taliban. 3000-4000 civillians died in US air strikes. Taliban killed several hundred thousands with their misguided policies. There is no comparison. Most of Afghan refugees have left Pakistan. What more do you want ?
`` On countless occasions between Sep 2001 and Oct 2001, ISI Chief Maj. Gen. Mahmud Ahmad advised Pentagon to play the ``divide-and-rule`` tactics by supporting the anti-Mullah Umar lobby. This was the perfect opportunity for the Americans to isolate Mullah Umar, get OBL and get a pliant Taliban ruler in power. Any expert of Taliban (e.g. Ahmad Rashid) will tell you that not all Taliban believed in suppression of women and minorities. ``
Mahmud was playing a double game. Once Americans found out Musharraf had to can him. All this crap about moderate Taliban was a means for Pakistan to control Afghanistan.
`` In hindsight, we can safely say that American anger prevailed over American shrewdness in Afghanistan. IMHO, this `angry` approach directly contributed to the rise of MMA in NWFP and Baluchistan. A `shrewd` approach would perhaps have denied the MMA their sympathy votes. Perhaps OBL would already be in US custody. And a pliant, moderate Taliban Pashtun leader would be ruling Kabul, instead of a potpourri of warlords, Tajiks, Uzbeks and Hazaras.``
MMA won power because military establishment rigged the playing field. Musharaff tried to use MMA to gain leverage with Washington. Washington leaked out Pakistan-North Korea connection to intimidate Mushy.
#133 Posted by bbabu on May 18, 2003 4:22:16 pm
HisExcellency #124
The biggest flaw of the US system is ther influence of money in politics. It will be the un-doing of the system.
US is a highly prosperous society. India is a society where still daily survival is issue for tens of millions of people. It is hard for democracy to evolve beyond a certain point in such situations.
USA lacks the true diversity of India. Pakistan and USA are similar in diversity. USA became prosperous when they were homogenous. Their diversity came after their prosperity.
#132 Posted by HisExcellency on May 18, 2003 1:56:48 pm
re: #129 by arjun_m
You are reading too much into my posts. I am not justifying the rise of MMA. I am explaining it, if you understand the difference.
IMHO, American War on Terror was conducted in a mindless, trigger- happy fashion. This glorified an ugly Taliban regime into Pashtun heroes. It is no secret that Taliban were themselves divided over the hand-over of Osama Bin Laden. Mullah Omar and his small clique were being opposed by the Taliban Council of Elders as well as Mullah Zaeef and Taliban Foreign Minister.
On countless occasions between Sep 2001 and Oct 2001, ISI Chief Maj. Gen. Mahmud Ahmad advised Pentagon to play the ``divide-and-rule`` tactics by supporting the anti-Mullah Umar lobby. This was the perfect opportunity for the Americans to isolate Mullah Umar, get OBL and get a pliant Taliban ruler in power. Any expert of Taliban (e.g. Ahmad Rashid) will tell you that not all Taliban believed in suppression of women and minorities.
But Americans weren`t listening. They wanted to make a statement. And I can understand why. The world`s only superpower had been hit hard in its backyard. It wanted to demonstrate its power and awe. President Bush felt the need to restore American confidence by demonstrating US air power and military muscle.
In hindsight, we can safely say that American anger prevailed over American shrewdness in Afghanistan. IMHO, this `angry` approach directly contributed to the rise of MMA in NWFP and Baluchistan. A `shrewd` approach would perhaps have denied the MMA their sympathy votes. Perhaps OBL would already be in US custody. And a pliant, moderate Taliban Pashtun leader would be ruling Kabul, instead of a potpourri of warlords, Tajiks, Uzbeks and Hazaras.
You are reading too much into my posts. I am not justifying the rise of MMA. I am explaining it, if you understand the difference.
IMHO, American War on Terror was conducted in a mindless, trigger- happy fashion. This glorified an ugly Taliban regime into Pashtun heroes. It is no secret that Taliban were themselves divided over the hand-over of Osama Bin Laden. Mullah Omar and his small clique were being opposed by the Taliban Council of Elders as well as Mullah Zaeef and Taliban Foreign Minister.
On countless occasions between Sep 2001 and Oct 2001, ISI Chief Maj. Gen. Mahmud Ahmad advised Pentagon to play the ``divide-and-rule`` tactics by supporting the anti-Mullah Umar lobby. This was the perfect opportunity for the Americans to isolate Mullah Umar, get OBL and get a pliant Taliban ruler in power. Any expert of Taliban (e.g. Ahmad Rashid) will tell you that not all Taliban believed in suppression of women and minorities.
But Americans weren`t listening. They wanted to make a statement. And I can understand why. The world`s only superpower had been hit hard in its backyard. It wanted to demonstrate its power and awe. President Bush felt the need to restore American confidence by demonstrating US air power and military muscle.
In hindsight, we can safely say that American anger prevailed over American shrewdness in Afghanistan. IMHO, this `angry` approach directly contributed to the rise of MMA in NWFP and Baluchistan. A `shrewd` approach would perhaps have denied the MMA their sympathy votes. Perhaps OBL would already be in US custody. And a pliant, moderate Taliban Pashtun leader would be ruling Kabul, instead of a potpourri of warlords, Tajiks, Uzbeks and Hazaras.
#131 Posted by Ahmadzai on May 18, 2003 11:25:31 am
arjun_m at # 129:
There is a justification for MMA coming into the power as given by His Excellency.
However, how do you explain the coming of extremist Balls of Thakray Advani, Joshi and Modi into the power?
As it is, these 4 are responsible for killing of thousands of minorities through their extremist agenda.
The only elected politicians who can be compared with OBL & his Al Qaeda in their symbolic acts are Advani and Joshi. OBL led the terrorist movement that brought WTC, the American symbol of capitalism, down. Advani and Joshi led a march that brought the Babri Mosque, a symbol of Indian secularism, down.
There is a justification for MMA coming into the power as given by His Excellency.
However, how do you explain the coming of extremist Balls of Thakray Advani, Joshi and Modi into the power?
As it is, these 4 are responsible for killing of thousands of minorities through their extremist agenda.
The only elected politicians who can be compared with OBL & his Al Qaeda in their symbolic acts are Advani and Joshi. OBL led the terrorist movement that brought WTC, the American symbol of capitalism, down. Advani and Joshi led a march that brought the Babri Mosque, a symbol of Indian secularism, down.
#130 Posted by Ahmadzai on May 18, 2003 11:25:31 am
His Excellency and the Indian friends:
Have Islamists come to power due to Musharraf`s manipulation?
I just came back from traveling in the region and smoking my skin. If one has to comment on Islamists of Afghanistan and Pakistan then I recommend that he / she gets out of the drawing room into the streets and burn his / her skin to get an eye witness account. Reading the articles written by `drawing room` journalists will not help us in any direction.
Karzai himself is afraid that Talibans have gained popularity. One reason is American attitude that has encouraged warlords much like the Afghan civil war era of 1988-96 that led to Talibans due to popular discontent. Of course, there is no manipulation of General Musharraf and his military junta in that country.
I guarantee that if free and impartial elections are held today in Afghanistan, pro-Taliban Pushtoons will sweep the polls. Do I agree with Talibans taking over Afghanistan and Islamists - Pakistan? Absolutely not. So how to deal with the menace of people making unintelligent choices under religious emotionalism?
Both Musharraf and Karzai in a way agree to marginalize the Islamists through the deeds of economic performance that cascade down to the common man. I believe that this is the way to go.
Have Islamists come to power due to Musharraf`s manipulation?
I just came back from traveling in the region and smoking my skin. If one has to comment on Islamists of Afghanistan and Pakistan then I recommend that he / she gets out of the drawing room into the streets and burn his / her skin to get an eye witness account. Reading the articles written by `drawing room` journalists will not help us in any direction.
Karzai himself is afraid that Talibans have gained popularity. One reason is American attitude that has encouraged warlords much like the Afghan civil war era of 1988-96 that led to Talibans due to popular discontent. Of course, there is no manipulation of General Musharraf and his military junta in that country.
I guarantee that if free and impartial elections are held today in Afghanistan, pro-Taliban Pushtoons will sweep the polls. Do I agree with Talibans taking over Afghanistan and Islamists - Pakistan? Absolutely not. So how to deal with the menace of people making unintelligent choices under religious emotionalism?
Both Musharraf and Karzai in a way agree to marginalize the Islamists through the deeds of economic performance that cascade down to the common man. I believe that this is the way to go.
#129 Posted by arjun_m on May 18, 2003 10:07:50 am
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#128 Posted by rsridhar on May 18, 2003 9:01:14 am
re: #113 by HisExcellency
``Both India and Pakistan are like freshmen aspiring for a college degree. They have miles to go and dozens of tests to take before they can become a graduate like USA, UK or Japan. Compare the human resource indicators of our countries with those of the industrialized nations and you will get the picture. ``
There is no question that India or Pak cannot be compared with US or Japan, who are delveloped nations. But you need to read history to figure out how these nations became prosperous. Despite the setback of a nuclear holocaust, Japan bounced back with a lot of help from US. US, in its turn is the only country which benefitted economically from the second world war. By 1960, US GNP was 50% of world`s GNP and it controlled much of foreign trade. World Trade agreements at the end of second world war (Bretton Woods) ensured that main currency of trade was dollar, even superseding gold. When the trade deficit for US increased to enormous proportions, countries started converting dollar to gold. US gold reseve fell sharply. US, in 1971, stopped free convertibility between dollar and gold, thereby bringing to end the basic premise on which Bretton Woods monetory system was founded.
US today is not only the world power but a hegemon when it comes to defending its dollar supremacy. It is ready to go to war for that purpose. France has been rubbed the wrong way as it overzealously promoted trade in Euro to the detriment of dollar (especially in its dealings with Iraq).
It is useless to compare Indo-Pak situation with US or Japan, as historically the 2 are in different contexts. India was colonised for 200years and much of poverty seen in India today is the result of that plus some stupid Nehruvian economic policies of early decades after independence. I believe, India is on the right track. It is slowly opening up its economy, allowing for checks and balances to take effect and not repeating the mistakes of the East Asian tigers. This is going to take time. India seems to be in no hurry and rightly so. It is a huge country and there is no magic wand in sight. However, free market, transparency, strong infrastructure for developement along with a good legal system, all essential for development of any nation, are slowly getting strengthened in India.
Today, India is building a vast network of freeways criss-crossing that country. The work is gigantic in itself. When completed, freeways will connect Srinagar to Madras and Calcutta to Bombay. This has created a great boom in economic activity, with increased demand for civil planners, builders, cement industry and what not. Satellite cities will spring up on the path of these freeways. That is how economic boom started in US in the 30s when FDR built freeways all over US. Transport of goods will be that much quicker and cheaper.
India is also thinking of linking all its rivers. This project is mind boggling. However, in spheres of Human Development Index, it is still at par with Pakistan. It is slightly ahead in areas like literacy. But it is on the right path, which is the path of empowerment of local population thr` free elections. There is a mandatory reservation of 1/3rd of seats in local governing bodies all the way to district level in most of the states in India. This is slowly empowering the women at village levels. As the internet and telephone penetration increases, information will flow into these areas and benefit poor people. With this empowerment, you give back the power to change to the local population, eliminating intermediaries. So, India will keep advancing, albeit at a slow pace.
India has created a place in niche areas, where it clearly outpaces Pak. India recently sent a 1 tonne indegenous satellite into geostationary orbit fired from its own rocket from a satellite launching site in India. India thus joined a handful of nations who can do this. It seeks to send an educational satellite soon into space and thereby relay educational programs free of cost to the remotest part of the country. And, in the area of remote sensing and satellite imagery, it is a world leader, sharing data with NASA and other countries around the world.
Besides, IT revolution is fast transforming India. India is also becoming a backbone for outsourcing, creating a job boom.
``Even in terms of democracy, India may be ahead of Pakistan but it still has to progress a lot to reach the American standard. Forget about the Presidential and Senate elections. Even at the lower county/municipality level, there is such transparency and awareness.. that only a competent, politically correct, and experienced candidate can emerge victorious from the endless debates, investigative journalism and issue-oriented political wrestling. I believe a Presidential system of democracy and transparent political process from top to bottom, should be adopted in Pakistan.``
Again, it is not fair to compare US and India. India has its own brand of democracy, suited to its needs. Its democracy has ensured election of communist governments in West Bengal, Kerala and elected time and again local parties to power in Tamil Nadu. These are remarkable things. US would not have allowed communists govt to be voted in any state. In that respect, the media and people are very scrupulous about what they want and what they do not. So, if there are minority communists in US, they better watch out. Also, the so called religous freedom in US is an illusion. I do not see any islamic or buddhist or hindu views propaged on the TV channels. The only thing i see are the christian and jewish views. Jews are powerful and control the media. And, this is by and large a christian nation. In India, you can see a channel propagating chrisitianity as freely as any other religious thoughts. India is truely a spiritual country and is ready to assimilate all viewpoints. Now, i hear that the muslims want to start their own channel. No doubt they will propogate islam and there will be people who will oppose it and others who will welcome it but the channel will happen and it will flourish. That is how a secular democray should be. If you only hold one view point, and allow only that viewpoint to be told suppressing the other POV, where is freedom? Of what use is religious freedom if only Tim Robertson has a seperate channel and given all freedom while such freedom is denied other religous sects. For eg there are no islamic channels or hindu channels here. Shankaracharya is not shown on TV while Pope is regularly shown. So, media already has decided its viewpoint and propagates that viewpoint. Let the others be damned.
US media also plays a big role in the way politicians are elected. One leader is projected as the right leader to the detriment of the other. We saw this happen in Dole versus Clinton presidential election. Clinton was the favourite of the media. He was more vocal, better looking while Dole was portrayed as less capable. His handicap was at times exagerrated. His slipping down on a campaign trail was again and again shown as a proof of sloppiness.
The confusion over the last presidency election (Bush vs Gore) with suspense over who was going to be the winner and all that confusion over ballot counting in Florida testifies to the fact that even after 200 years of election experience, US elections are still not smooth. One relatively unknown thing is the poor turnover in most elections in US. The turn over hardly ever exceeds 50%.
In election after elections in India, the average turnover has been 60% or more. Poor man in India has reposed his faith in the election process. India spends close to a billion dollars over its national elections but these elections are a testimony to the vibrancy of Indian democracy. Unknown politicians are elected and those popular bite the dust. With rise in literacy, elections are bound to get value based. Recently, EC came with recommendations that those seeking elections should not have any criminal records and should declare their assets.
India has a long way to go but it is on the right path. Pakistan has taken a wrong road, one of reposing faith on a dictator. On this road, no institutions can be built. You perennially remain a slave to whoseever comes to power. And, you have to hinge your future to the future of that single person who rules over you. You can decide which is better.
Sridhar
``Both India and Pakistan are like freshmen aspiring for a college degree. They have miles to go and dozens of tests to take before they can become a graduate like USA, UK or Japan. Compare the human resource indicators of our countries with those of the industrialized nations and you will get the picture. ``
There is no question that India or Pak cannot be compared with US or Japan, who are delveloped nations. But you need to read history to figure out how these nations became prosperous. Despite the setback of a nuclear holocaust, Japan bounced back with a lot of help from US. US, in its turn is the only country which benefitted economically from the second world war. By 1960, US GNP was 50% of world`s GNP and it controlled much of foreign trade. World Trade agreements at the end of second world war (Bretton Woods) ensured that main currency of trade was dollar, even superseding gold. When the trade deficit for US increased to enormous proportions, countries started converting dollar to gold. US gold reseve fell sharply. US, in 1971, stopped free convertibility between dollar and gold, thereby bringing to end the basic premise on which Bretton Woods monetory system was founded.
US today is not only the world power but a hegemon when it comes to defending its dollar supremacy. It is ready to go to war for that purpose. France has been rubbed the wrong way as it overzealously promoted trade in Euro to the detriment of dollar (especially in its dealings with Iraq).
It is useless to compare Indo-Pak situation with US or Japan, as historically the 2 are in different contexts. India was colonised for 200years and much of poverty seen in India today is the result of that plus some stupid Nehruvian economic policies of early decades after independence. I believe, India is on the right track. It is slowly opening up its economy, allowing for checks and balances to take effect and not repeating the mistakes of the East Asian tigers. This is going to take time. India seems to be in no hurry and rightly so. It is a huge country and there is no magic wand in sight. However, free market, transparency, strong infrastructure for developement along with a good legal system, all essential for development of any nation, are slowly getting strengthened in India.
Today, India is building a vast network of freeways criss-crossing that country. The work is gigantic in itself. When completed, freeways will connect Srinagar to Madras and Calcutta to Bombay. This has created a great boom in economic activity, with increased demand for civil planners, builders, cement industry and what not. Satellite cities will spring up on the path of these freeways. That is how economic boom started in US in the 30s when FDR built freeways all over US. Transport of goods will be that much quicker and cheaper.
India is also thinking of linking all its rivers. This project is mind boggling. However, in spheres of Human Development Index, it is still at par with Pakistan. It is slightly ahead in areas like literacy. But it is on the right path, which is the path of empowerment of local population thr` free elections. There is a mandatory reservation of 1/3rd of seats in local governing bodies all the way to district level in most of the states in India. This is slowly empowering the women at village levels. As the internet and telephone penetration increases, information will flow into these areas and benefit poor people. With this empowerment, you give back the power to change to the local population, eliminating intermediaries. So, India will keep advancing, albeit at a slow pace.
India has created a place in niche areas, where it clearly outpaces Pak. India recently sent a 1 tonne indegenous satellite into geostationary orbit fired from its own rocket from a satellite launching site in India. India thus joined a handful of nations who can do this. It seeks to send an educational satellite soon into space and thereby relay educational programs free of cost to the remotest part of the country. And, in the area of remote sensing and satellite imagery, it is a world leader, sharing data with NASA and other countries around the world.
Besides, IT revolution is fast transforming India. India is also becoming a backbone for outsourcing, creating a job boom.
``Even in terms of democracy, India may be ahead of Pakistan but it still has to progress a lot to reach the American standard. Forget about the Presidential and Senate elections. Even at the lower county/municipality level, there is such transparency and awareness.. that only a competent, politically correct, and experienced candidate can emerge victorious from the endless debates, investigative journalism and issue-oriented political wrestling. I believe a Presidential system of democracy and transparent political process from top to bottom, should be adopted in Pakistan.``
Again, it is not fair to compare US and India. India has its own brand of democracy, suited to its needs. Its democracy has ensured election of communist governments in West Bengal, Kerala and elected time and again local parties to power in Tamil Nadu. These are remarkable things. US would not have allowed communists govt to be voted in any state. In that respect, the media and people are very scrupulous about what they want and what they do not. So, if there are minority communists in US, they better watch out. Also, the so called religous freedom in US is an illusion. I do not see any islamic or buddhist or hindu views propaged on the TV channels. The only thing i see are the christian and jewish views. Jews are powerful and control the media. And, this is by and large a christian nation. In India, you can see a channel propagating chrisitianity as freely as any other religious thoughts. India is truely a spiritual country and is ready to assimilate all viewpoints. Now, i hear that the muslims want to start their own channel. No doubt they will propogate islam and there will be people who will oppose it and others who will welcome it but the channel will happen and it will flourish. That is how a secular democray should be. If you only hold one view point, and allow only that viewpoint to be told suppressing the other POV, where is freedom? Of what use is religious freedom if only Tim Robertson has a seperate channel and given all freedom while such freedom is denied other religous sects. For eg there are no islamic channels or hindu channels here. Shankaracharya is not shown on TV while Pope is regularly shown. So, media already has decided its viewpoint and propagates that viewpoint. Let the others be damned.
US media also plays a big role in the way politicians are elected. One leader is projected as the right leader to the detriment of the other. We saw this happen in Dole versus Clinton presidential election. Clinton was the favourite of the media. He was more vocal, better looking while Dole was portrayed as less capable. His handicap was at times exagerrated. His slipping down on a campaign trail was again and again shown as a proof of sloppiness.
The confusion over the last presidency election (Bush vs Gore) with suspense over who was going to be the winner and all that confusion over ballot counting in Florida testifies to the fact that even after 200 years of election experience, US elections are still not smooth. One relatively unknown thing is the poor turnover in most elections in US. The turn over hardly ever exceeds 50%.
In election after elections in India, the average turnover has been 60% or more. Poor man in India has reposed his faith in the election process. India spends close to a billion dollars over its national elections but these elections are a testimony to the vibrancy of Indian democracy. Unknown politicians are elected and those popular bite the dust. With rise in literacy, elections are bound to get value based. Recently, EC came with recommendations that those seeking elections should not have any criminal records and should declare their assets.
India has a long way to go but it is on the right path. Pakistan has taken a wrong road, one of reposing faith on a dictator. On this road, no institutions can be built. You perennially remain a slave to whoseever comes to power. And, you have to hinge your future to the future of that single person who rules over you. You can decide which is better.
Sridhar
#127 Posted by bbabu on May 18, 2003 6:49:47 am
HisExcellency #116
`` You demonstrate symptoms of AIRDS (Acute Indian Reading Disability Syndrome). First of all you claim that Pakistan has no right to demand Sikkim, Nagaland, etc. Well Pakistan never did!. ``
I will repeat your quote:
``We don`t demand self-determination for people in Sikkim, Nagaland, Punjab or elsewhere in India.``
Then don`t bring it up during the discussion. Simple as that !!!
`` Next you discuss Vatican and Bangladesh in the context of Indian Independence Act 1947. Dude, since we are discussing the Indian Indpendence Act to begin with, I would appreciate if you would confine yourself to the IIA. The Indian Independence Act was about the partition of India along religious line. Period. Neither geographical contiguity nor nation-state concepts entered the partition plan mutually agreed between Mountbatten, Nehru and Jinnah. ``
The Urdu Muslim elite in modern day UP, Bihar and MP backed the Muslim league. Bengali and Urdu Muslims were primary backers of Pakistanis. Why do you think Jinnah never created Muslim enclaves in UP/Bihar/MP ? The answer is simple. Those enclaves would be completely isolated from rest of Pakistan. Geographical continuity was a factor in the division. It was an unwritten rule if you will say so.
The rule was broken in the case of East Pakistan to satisfy Bengali Muslims.
Congress party fought hard for partition of Bengal and Punjab for non-Muslims once partition became inevitable. West Bengal and East Punjab are geographical contiguous to the rest of India.
`` There exists a fine line between your commentary (or mine) and the stipulations of the Act. The commentaries can vary from person to person, the Act is final. The reason we have so many different commentaries is because the Act was ambiguous about the precise modalities for accession (or independence) of princely states. Many people blame the British for being deliberately vague so that India and Pakistan would continue to quarrel even after independence. ``
I have to disagree. I do not think British were vague. They really did not care and pay attention to detail. They wanted to leave in a hurry. Remember Britain was physically as battered as India after WW II. The bad blood from the partition carried out into the future.
`` Finally you make the preposterous claim that Pakistan Army (the favorite Indian scapegoat) fostered Islamist movements in NWFP and Baluchistan to counter Pashtun nationalism. Were you on drugs during the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan from 1979-1988?? Because it you weren`t, you would know that CIA and Pakistan set up Mujahideen training camps and in NWFP, Baluchistan and eastern Afghanistan to fight against the Soviets. ``
Pakistani army has controlled things in Pakistan directly for 27 years and indirectly for 17 years. By their own admission they are responsible for a lot of decisions made by the state.
Factoid: CIA was never allowed direct contact with Afghan Mujahdeen. Everything had to be channelled through the ISI. Zia made sure to that.
Most of the CIA/Saudi aid that was not siphoned by Pakistani middlemen were channelled to Islamic groups more specifically groups with taliban and Wahabi like ideologies. Secular Afghan groups got left over craps. What else explains the power of Hektmeyar during the 1980`s ? Did he make a career throwing acid bottles at women who did not wear veils ? That was an ``Islamic`` thing to do.
It is high time Pakistani elite grew up and stood up for their own actions instead of blaming Uncle Sam for everything under the sun.
I completely agree with the last portion of your article. It is high time the violence is halted.
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