Will President Bush Invade Iran?
ahmednijad might be a religous nut but he couldnt have chosen a better time to seek confrontation with the US/Israel than now with US forces occupied in afghanistan and iraq, his ability to make life tough for the US there, his leverage over oil, and he is purposely seeking confrontation with israel a)to win the sympathy of muslims and arabs and to prevent them assisting the US (in which he has succeeded with saudi and the gulf states requesting the US to desist, especially because they know it will hurt their resurgent economies and their real estate booms)
b)he knows that at some point confrontation was inevitable with both israel and the US if he were to build nukes what better time than now when there is so much antipathy against their policies in palestine and Lebanon (which he fueled) and Iraq (in which he/iran is playing good cop/bad cop) Kurdistan is another area where he could create problems or atleast choke oil from
If he succeeds he will become the only third world/muslim guy to get away with militarily challenging the US Hugo chavez is not nuclear armed remember
c)it makes him powerful domestically and regionally and gives iran prominence
d)
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 11:53 am
tahmedahmednijad might be a religous nut but he couldnt have chosen a better time to seek confrontation with the US/Israel than now with US forces occupied in afghanistan and iraq, his ability to make life tough for the US there, his leverage over oil, and he is purposely seeking confrontation with israel a)to win the sympathy of muslims and arabs and to prevent them assisting the US (in which he has succeeded with saudi and the gulf states requesting the US to desist, especially because they know it will hurt their resurgent economies and their real estate booms)
b)he knows that at some point confrontation was inevitable with both israel and the US if he were to build nukes what better time than now when there is so much antipathy against their policies in palestine and Lebanon (which he fueled) and Iraq (in which he/iran is playing good cop/bad cop) Kurdistan is another area where he could create problems or atleast choke oil from
If he succeeds he will become the only third world/muslim guy to get away with militarily challenging the US Hugo chavez is not nuclear armed remember
c)it makes him powerful domestically and regionally and gives iran prominence
d)
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 11:29 am
Dash dot you might be right but arent the stock markets in India and china already oevr bloated and anyway due for a correction, how much greater would be the impact of high oil prices, large curent acount deficits, inflationary pressures, Global recesion and regional political and economic instability
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 11:23 am
The question is does Iran have the balls and the ability to strike at targets in the persian gulf after the US/Israel bombs it first?
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 11:21 am
dullahbhatti the problem is the price will not go and hold at 200 or 300, it will seesaw, jacklash/whiplash creating instability, stockmarkets especially of china and india and even in some oecd countries will plummett
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 11:15 am
bubba juice our prophet did not recognise any nationality, the only nationality was muslim.
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
urstruly oil is a fungible commodity i.e. its prices are determined on a global level plus or minus transportation costs, oil prices within the US have never deviated from international prices give or take costs of transport it doesnt matter wether it gets its oil from latin america they will sell the oil at the new higher inter. rates.
U are confusing oil prices with availability of oil; availability to the US will be unrestricted in any case because iran canot block global sea lanes and the us anyway has a strategic reserve for short term emergencies
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 10:58 am
"2. The Iranian retaliation in the region, that is, putting a hurdle in the Bay of Hormuz will only hurt Europeans, Japanese and Chinese interests; whereas US buys 90% of its oil from Venzuela and Canada. During the two Gulf wars there has been virtually no side effect on fuel prices with in america."urstruly oil is a fungible commodity i.e. its prices are determined on a global level plus or minus transportation costs, oil prices within the US have never deviated from international prices give or take costs of transport it doesnt matter wether it gets its oil from latin america they will sell the oil at the new higher inter. rates.
U are confusing oil prices with availability of oil; availability to the US will be unrestricted in any case because iran canot block global sea lanes and the us anyway has a strategic reserve for short term emergencies
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 10:53 am
let see who blinks first the iranians, the US or Israel it will be interesting. from all the big talk the us seems to have pushed itself into a corner
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
naqsh the chinese will not dump their dollar reserves because that would itself plummett the value of dallars and thereby their own reseves. what they might do is not purchase any more dollars but that would mean allowing their currency to appreciate and thereby hiting their own export sector which is the main driver of their boom, so it is unlikely to be done in a big way
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 10:36 am
dash_dot euro denomination of oil by iran will not make as big a difference as you think it wont form more than 10 to 14% of world oil turnover. It is the arab states shift that will cause a major shift but even that will not make a significant diff to a US econ well over 12trillion us dollars.naqsh the chinese will not dump their dollar reserves because that would itself plummett the value of dallars and thereby their own reseves. what they might do is not purchase any more dollars but that would mean allowing their currency to appreciate and thereby hiting their own export sector which is the main driver of their boom, so it is unlikely to be done in a big way
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
naqsh the chinese will not dump their dollar reserves because that would itself plummett the value of dallars and thereby their own reseves. what they might do is not purchase any more dollars but that would mean allowing their currency to appreciate and thereby hiting their own export sector which is the main driver of their boom, so it is unlikely to be done in a big way
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 10:36 am
dash_dot euro denomination of oil by iran will not make as big a difference as you think it wont form more than 10 to 14% of world oil turnover. It is the arab states shift that will cause a major shift but even that will not make a significant diff to a US econ well over 12trillion us dollars.naqsh the chinese will not dump their dollar reserves because that would itself plummett the value of dallars and thereby their own reseves. what they might do is not purchase any more dollars but that would mean allowing their currency to appreciate and thereby hiting their own export sector which is the main driver of their boom, so it is unlikely to be done in a big way
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 10:28 am
also the us thought they would be welcomed by the shias after they betrayed them in 91, and killed millions more through their support of one side and then the other in iran-iraw war but the shia have long memories as you can see every muharram
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Iraw was a lab, but as Zakaria says that policy has ben a complete faliar because they didnot bet on the fundamental extremism of certain shias and sunnis and never put enough troops on the ground.
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 10:26 am
yes hamidm you are right just like ahmedenijad and alqaidi have a goal so do the neocons they believed that the rise of alqaia and other dictatorships like saddam and gadafi was due to US not supporting democracies in the past, they believed Iraq with the most educated population, secular govt and female participation and unpopular dictator as well as artificially justifable threat to the us/israel could be used to rally public opinion.Iraw was a lab, but as Zakaria says that policy has ben a complete faliar because they didnot bet on the fundamental extremism of certain shias and sunnis and never put enough troops on the ground.
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 10:18 am
naqsh Iran is no threat to the US read fareed zakaria's latest article and he is a republican. you are right leave aside the us it cannot even atack israel because of MAD but it can and will become more bold and aggresive in its support to various elements which oppose Israel thus making life a bit harder and this the jewish lobby will not tolerate secondly it will make US mideast policy a little more respectful to Iran as also that of its other arab neighbours and may make some of them push for weapons themselves thereby creating a dangerous neighbourhood for Israel and possibly US mid east policy
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 09:22 am
masadi u are a fool, big money means fuel for relection and hence the prominence of big business of the jewish, oil, or any other kind but all the profit in the world can not get one relected if public sentiment and their vote goes against you and nothing upsets them like a recesion and inflation double whammy check with hoover, carter or george herbert walker bush.
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
If he lets Israel attack he will have proved he is beholden to the jewish lobby.
If he does nothing Iran will slowly but surely aquire nuclear weapons
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 08:54 am
If Bush attacks Iran he will have proved He is a man of principle who sticks to his word.If he lets Israel attack he will have proved he is beholden to the jewish lobby.
If he does nothing Iran will slowly but surely aquire nuclear weapons
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 08:49 am
u havent heard of Licoln navigator, aviator, towncar or continental?
Will President Bush Invade Iran?
Posted by
borivili_express
Oct 30, 2007 08:46 am
station wagon, SUV, Lincoln all the same
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